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East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191758
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST SAT NOV 19 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT THIS
ACTIVITY IS NOT YET CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED...AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR THE LOW TO DEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

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