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East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141132
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI SEP 14 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM KRISTY...LOCATED ABOUT 105 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND
MEXICO.

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER
ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 1700 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA HAVE DIMINISHED THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS LOW IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AND HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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