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East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272335
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU SEP 27 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRIAM...LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES
WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 175 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN A FEW HUNDRED MILES OF THE COAST OF WESTERN
MEXICO. ALTHOUGH A TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD STILL FORM BEFORE THE
LOW REACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO IN A DAY OR TWO...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15
MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

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