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Hurricane DANIEL Forecast/Advisory Number 12

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 07 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 070236
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
0300 UTC SAT JUL 07 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 117.1W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 117.1W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 116.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.7N 118.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.9N 120.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.2N 122.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.6N 125.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 16.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 16.0N 144.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 117.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

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