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Hurricane DANIEL Forecast/Advisory Number 14

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUL 07 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 071433
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
1500 UTC SAT JUL 07 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 119.2W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 119.2W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 118.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.0N 120.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.2N 123.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.5N 125.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.8N 128.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.4N 134.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 16.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 16.5N 147.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 119.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

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