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Hurricane DANIEL Forecast/Advisory Number 16

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 08 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 080232
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
0300 UTC SUN JUL 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 121.2W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 121.2W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 120.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.3N 123.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.7N 125.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.1N 128.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.3N 131.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.5N 137.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 16.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 16.0N 150.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 121.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

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