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Hurricane DANIEL Forecast/Advisory Number 20

Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUL 09 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 090238
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
0300 UTC MON JUL 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 126.3W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  90SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 126.3W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 125.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.4N 128.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.6N 131.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.7N 134.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.7N 137.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.9N 143.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 15.7N 149.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 15.5N 155.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 126.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 

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