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Hurricane DANIEL Forecast/Advisory Number 21

Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUL 09 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 090859
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
0900 UTC MON JUL 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 127.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 127.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 127.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.5N 129.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.6N 132.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.7N 135.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.8N 138.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.8N 144.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 15.6N 150.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 15.4N 156.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 127.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

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