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Hurricane EMILIA Forecast Advisory Number 10

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 10 2012

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 100231
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
0300 UTC TUE JUL 10 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 112.2W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 112.2W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 111.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 13.9N 113.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.6N 115.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.2N 117.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.6N 119.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.3N 123.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 17.0N 127.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 17.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 112.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

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