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Hurricane EMILIA Forecast Advisory Number 12

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 10 2012

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 101436
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
1500 UTC TUE JUL 10 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 113.7W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 140SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 113.7W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 113.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.1N 115.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.6N 117.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.1N 118.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.6N 120.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N 124.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 17.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 113.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

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