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Hurricane EMILIA Forecast/Advisory Number 7

Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUL 09 2012

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 090857
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
0900 UTC MON JUL 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 109.3W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 109.3W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 12.4N 110.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.5N 114.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.9N 116.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.6N 120.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 15.4N 124.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.4N 129.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 109.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

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