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Hurricane FABIO Forecast Advisory Number 18

Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUL 16 2012

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160831
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
0900 UTC MON JUL 16 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 119.5W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 119.5W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 119.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.0N 120.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.3N 121.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.6N 121.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.5N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 26.5N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 119.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

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