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Hurricane FABIO Forecast Advisory Number 7

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 132041
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
2100 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 111.4W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE  80SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 111.4W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 111.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.1N 112.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.8N 115.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.3N 117.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 24.0N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 111.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

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