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Hurricane GILMA Forecast Advisory Number 8

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 09 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 090236
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072012
0300 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.4W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.4W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 118.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.6N 119.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.4N 120.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.0N 120.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.6N 121.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.6N 122.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 20.5N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 118.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

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