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Hurricane ILEANA Forecast Advisory Number 12

Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 30 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 301443
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092012
1500 UTC THU AUG 30 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.7W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.7W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 113.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.9N 114.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.7N 115.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 116.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.3N 117.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.0N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 24.5N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 25.0N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 113.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

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