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Hurricane KENNETH Forecast/Advisory Number 15

Issued at 0900 UTC WED NOV 23 2011

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 230832
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
0900 UTC WED NOV 23 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 116.5W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 116.5W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 116.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.1N 117.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.8N 119.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.4N 120.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.7N 122.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.0N 127.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 16.0N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 116.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

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