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Hurricane MIRIAM Forecast Advisory Number 10

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 24 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 240819
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132012
0900 UTC MON SEP 24 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 112.2W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 112.2W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 111.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N 113.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.8N 114.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.6N 114.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.4N 115.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 22.2N 115.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 24.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 25.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 112.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

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