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Hurricane MIRIAM Forecast Advisory Number 12

Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 24 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 242113
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132012
2100 UTC MON SEP 24 2012
 
CORRECTED STATUS AT DAY 5

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 113.5W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 113.5W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 113.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.5N 114.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.3N 114.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 21.1N 115.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 23.4N 115.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 25.5N 114.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 27.5N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 113.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 

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