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Hurricane MIRIAM Forecast Advisory Number 13

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 25 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 250232
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132012
0300 UTC TUE SEP 25 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 113.9W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 113.9W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 113.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.8N 114.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.7N 115.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.7N 115.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 25.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 27.0N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 113.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

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