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Hurricane MIRIAM Forecast Advisory Number 14

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 250819
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132012
0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 114.3W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 114.3W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 114.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 21.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 22.1N 115.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.0N 115.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 25.7N 114.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 27.2N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 114.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

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