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Hurricane MIRIAM Forecast Advisory Number 16

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 25 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 252032
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132012
2100 UTC TUE SEP 25 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 114.9W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 200SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 114.9W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 114.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.6N 115.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.7N 115.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 23.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.2N 116.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 25.5N 116.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 114.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 

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