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Hurricane MIRIAM Forecast Advisory Number 17

Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 26 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 260256
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132012
0300 UTC WED SEP 26 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 115.2W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 115.2W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 115.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.8N 115.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.0N 115.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.2N 116.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.9N 116.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 23.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 24.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 115.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
 
 

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