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Post-Tropical Cyclone CARLOTTA Public Advisory Number 13

Issued at 800 PM PDT SAT JUN 16 2012

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 170234
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
800 PM PDT SAT JUN 16 2012
 
...CARLOTTA NOW A REMNANT LOW OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE FOR SEVERAL
MORE DAYS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 100.3W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ENE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 100.3 WEST.  THE LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND IT SHOULD CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION
UNTIL IT DISSIPATES.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...35 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON SUNDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...CARLOTTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...100 TO 200 MM...THROUGH MONDAY
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES...375 MM...ARE POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON MARINE
CONDITIONS RELATED TO THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF
MEXICO FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND INLAND
FLOODING.

 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

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