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Post-Tropical Cyclone ELEVEN-E Forecast Discussion Number 10

Issued at 200 AM PDT TUE AUG 18 2015


000
WTPZ41 KNHC 180831
TCDEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112015
200 AM PDT TUE AUG 18 2015

The depression has not had organized deep convection for quite some
time now and no longer meets the definition of a tropical cyclone.
Therefore, this system has become a non-convective remnant low
and this is the last advisory.  All of the models gradually weaken
the low during the next couple of days, and this is reflected below
in the forecast.  A slower west-northwestward to northwestward
motion is expected until the cyclone dissipates in a few days, and
the track forecast is close to the model consensus.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI,  WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and on the web at

http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.shtml.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  18/0900Z 24.9N 125.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  18/1800Z 25.9N 127.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  19/0600Z 27.0N 129.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  19/1800Z 28.0N 131.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  20/0600Z 29.0N 132.5W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake

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