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Post-Tropical Cyclone HECTOR Forecast Discussion Number 24

Issued at 200 AM PDT FRI AUG 17 2012

000
WTPZ43 KNHC 170838
TCDEP3
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082012
200 AM PDT FRI AUG 17 2012
 
ONLY A FEW WIMPY SHOWERS HAVE BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER OF
HECTOR DURING THE LAST 12 HOURS OR SO...AND THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN
UNCLASSIFIABLE BY THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE DURING THAT TIME.  THUS...
HECTOR NO LONGER MEETS THE CONVECTIVE CRITERIA FOR A TROPICAL
CYCLONE...AND IS NOW A REMNANT LOW.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD
AT 25 KT ON THE BASIS OF A 0528 UTC ASCAT PASS.  GLOBAL MODELS
SUGGEST THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN OVER COOLER
WATERS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTH.  

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON HECTOR.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THE REMNANT LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  17/0900Z 20.8N 116.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  17/1800Z 21.6N 116.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  18/0600Z 22.6N 116.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  18/1800Z 23.5N 117.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  19/0600Z 24.0N 117.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

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