Text size

Send us your thoughts and testimonials about our site and services

Post-Tropical Cyclone KRISTY Forecast Discussion Number 21

Issued at 800 AM PDT MON SEP 17 2012

000
WTPZ41 KNHC 171439
TCDEP1
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112012
800 AM PDT MON SEP 17 2012

KRISTY HAS BEEN DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS...AND
IS THEREFORE BEING DESIGNATED AS A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW. 
BASED ON THE EARLIER SCATTEROMETER OBSERVATIONS...THE INTENSITY IS
KEPT AT 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.  THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE TO
SPIN DOWN...AND DISSIPATE ENTIRELY IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE LOW CONTINUES TO TURN TO THE RIGHT AND IS NOW MOVING AT ABOUT
340/5. THE CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY AROUND THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WEST OF SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE
PREVIOUS ONE AND IS ABOUT IN THE MIDDLE OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  17/1500Z 26.2N 119.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  18/0000Z 26.7N 119.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  18/1200Z 27.0N 118.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  19/0000Z 27.2N 117.5W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

Comments are closed.