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Tropical Depression ALETTA Forecast/Advisory Number 12

Issued at 0900 UTC THU MAY 17 2012

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 171053
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012012
0900 UTC THU MAY 17 2012
 
CORRECTED TO CHANGE FORECAST TIME FROM 22/0600Z TO 21/0600Z 

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.6W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.6W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 114.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.5N 115.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.0N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.5N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.5N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH
DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 114.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

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