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Tropical Depression ALETTA Forecast/Advisory Number 14

Issued at 2100 UTC THU MAY 17 2012

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 172044
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012012
2100 UTC THU MAY 17 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 114.7W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 114.7W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 114.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.4N 114.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.8N 114.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.0N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 13.9N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.0N 112.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 12.0N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 114.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

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