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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Advisory Number 2

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 11 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 112040
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082012
2100 UTC SAT AUG 11 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.1W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.1W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 106.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 17.9N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.9N 110.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.6N 111.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.3N 111.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 107.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

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