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Tropical Depression FIVE-E Forecast/Advisory Number 1

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 07 2012

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 072031
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
2100 UTC SAT JUL 07 2012
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.9N 101.6W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.9N 101.6W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 100.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 10.4N 103.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 11.1N 106.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 11.8N 108.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 12.5N 110.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.7N 114.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 15.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 16.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.9N 101.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

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