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Tropical Depression FOUR-E Forecast/Advisory Number 2

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 04 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 041431
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
1500 UTC WED JUL 04 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 107.1W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 107.1W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 106.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.8N 108.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.4N 110.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.9N 112.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.0N 114.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.1N 118.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 15.2N 122.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 15.9N 127.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 107.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

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