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Tropical Depression GILMA Forecast Discussion Number 18

Issued at 800 AM PDT SAT AUG 11 2012

000
WTPZ42 KNHC 111434
TCDEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072012
800 AM PDT SAT AUG 11 2012
 
GILMA HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 30 KNOTS...AND GILMA IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. NOW
THAT GILMA HAS BECOME A SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT IS EXPECTED TO BE
STEERED MORE TO THE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST BY THE LOW-LEVEL
FLOW UNTIL DISSIPATION.
 
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  11/1500Z 20.2N 120.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  12/0000Z 20.7N 120.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  12/1200Z 21.3N 121.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  13/0000Z 21.5N 122.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

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