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Tropical Depression HECTOR Forecast Advisory Number 18

Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 152034
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082012
2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 115.0W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 115.0W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 114.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.5N 115.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.5N 115.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.3N 116.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.5N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 115.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

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