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Tropical Depression HECTOR Forecast Advisory Number 19

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 160245
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082012
0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 115.4W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 115.4W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 115.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.7N 115.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.7N 116.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.5N 116.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 115.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ZELINSKY
 
 

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