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Tropical Depression IRWIN Forecast/Advisory Number 43

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 162035
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
2100 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 108.1W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 108.1W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 107.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.8N 108.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.1N 109.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.2N 109.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.0N 109.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 13.4N 108.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 108.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

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