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Tropical Depression IRWIN Public Advisory Number 40

Issued at 800 PM PDT SAT OCT 15 2011

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160235
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 15 2011
 
...IRWIN WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 107.3W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 200 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST.  IRWIN
IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.  IRWIN COULD THEN BECOME
NEARLY STATIONARY ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH
MONDAY...BUT IRWIN COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW AT ANY TIME
IF IT CEASES TO PRODUCE ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

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