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Tropical Depression IRWIN Public Advisory Number 43

Issued at 200 PM PDT SUN OCT 16 2011

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 162036
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
200 PM PDT SUN OCT 16 2011
 
...IRWIN WEAKENS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 108.1W
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. IRWIN COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
AT ANY TIME IF IT CEASES TO PRODUCE ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 

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