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Tropical Depression TWO-E Forecast/Advisory Number 1

Issued at 0300 UTC MON MAY 21 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 210236
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012
0300 UTC MON MAY 21 2012
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.3N  99.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.3N  99.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.3N  99.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z  9.5N 100.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 10.2N 100.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 11.0N 101.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.0N 102.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.5N 103.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 15.5N 102.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 17.5N 101.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.3N  99.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

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