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Tropical Depression TWO-E Forecast/Advisory Number 3

Issued at 1500 UTC MON MAY 21 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 211440
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012
1500 UTC MON MAY 21 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.2N 101.0W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.2N 101.0W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.0N 100.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z  9.6N 101.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 10.6N 103.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 11.8N 104.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.9N 105.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 17.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.0N 103.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.2N 101.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

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