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Tropical Depression TWO-E Forecast/Advisory Number 5

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE MAY 22 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 220233
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012
0300 UTC TUE MAY 22 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N 101.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.8N 101.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.6N 101.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 10.5N 102.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 11.6N 104.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.7N 105.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.8N 105.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.8N 104.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 17.5N 103.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.0N 103.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.8N 101.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

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