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Tropical Storm ALETTA Forecast/Advisory Number 11

Issued at 0300 UTC THU MAY 17 2012

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170231
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012012
0300 UTC THU MAY 17 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 114.3W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 114.3W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 114.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.6N 115.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.2N 115.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 13.6N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.0N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 13.5N 111.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 114.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

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