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Tropical Storm DANIEL Forecast/Advisory Number 6

Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 05 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 051433
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
1500 UTC THU JUL 05 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 110.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 110.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.6N 112.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.0N 114.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.3N 116.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.5N 118.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 16.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 17.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 110.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

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