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Tropical Storm EMILIA Forecast Advisory Number 23

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 130835
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
0900 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 124.8W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 124.8W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 124.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.6N 126.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.8N 129.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.0N 131.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.2N 134.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.3N 140.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 16.3N 145.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 16.3N 150.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 124.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

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