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Tropical Storm EMILIA Forecast Advisory Number 24

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 131431
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
1500 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 125.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.7N 127.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 130.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 133.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.3N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.5N 141.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 16.5N 147.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 16.5N 152.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 126.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

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