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Tropical Storm EMILIA Forecast Advisory Number 25

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 132044
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
2100 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 127.2W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 127.2W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 126.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.6N 129.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.8N 132.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.8N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.8N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.5N 144.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 15.0N 150.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 155.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 127.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

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