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Tropical Storm EMILIA Forecast/Advisory Number 2

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 08 2012

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 080230
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
0300 UTC SUN JUL 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 103.2W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 103.2W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 102.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 11.3N 105.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 12.0N 107.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 12.8N 110.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 13.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 15.8N 119.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 103.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

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