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Tropical Storm FABIO Forecast Advisory Number 20

Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 16 2012

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 162032
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
2100 UTC MON JUL 16 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 120.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 120.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 120.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.7N 120.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.4N 120.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.9N 120.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 25.1N 120.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.8N 119.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 120.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

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