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Tropical Storm GILMA Forecast Advisory Number 14

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 101433
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072012
1500 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 119.3W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 119.3W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 119.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.4N 119.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.1N 119.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.6N 120.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.1N 120.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 21.7N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 119.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER SCHAUER/BERG 
 

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