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Tropical Storm GILMA Forecast Advisory Number 2

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 071445
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072012
1500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 112.6W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 112.6W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 112.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.5N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.3N 116.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.0N 117.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.3N 119.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 17.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 17.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 112.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

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