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Tropical Storm GILMA Forecast Advisory Number 4

Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 08 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 080241
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072012
0300 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 115.0W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 115.0W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 114.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.9N 116.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.0N 119.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.2N 121.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 18.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 19.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 115.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

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